Monday, November 5, 2012

Big East Preview: #6 Cincinnati Bearcats

Previewing all 15 teams from #15 to #1 

By:  Shane McCarthy


After a seemingly out of nowhere run to the Big East Championship game and Sweet 16, Cincinnati will be looking for a repeat performance, and then some. However, they will have to do it without two important pieces from last year’s squad.

Who’s Back:

Sean Kilpatrick –G– Junior – 34.5 Min, 14.3 ppg, 4.6 rpg, 2.1 apg
Cashmere Wright –G– Senior – 31.2 Min, 10.9 ppg, 3.8 rpg, 4.6 apg
JaQuon Parker –G– Senior – 26.6 Min, 9.4 ppg, 5.6 rpg, 1.3 apg
Justin Jackson –F– Junior – 21.1 Min, 5.1 ppg, 4.2 rpg, 1.1 apg
Ge’Lawn Guyn –G– Soph – 10.1 Min, 2.3 ppg, 0.8 rpg, 0.6 apg
Cheikh Mbodj –C– Senior – 9.7 Min, 1.7 ppg, 2.1 rpg, 0.1 apg
Jermaine Sanders –F– Soph – 8.5 Min, 1.7 ppg, 1.2 rpg, 0.5 apg
Kelvin Gaines –C– Soph – 8.5 Min, 0.8 ppg, 2.2 rpg, 0.1 apg
Jeremiah Davis III –G– Soph – 7.9 Min, 2.5 ppg, 0.9 rpg, 0.5 apg

Incoming Recruits:

Shaquille Thomas – [Small Forward] – 6 foot 6, 185
Rivals.com’s 81st ranked player and 23rd ranked Small Forward
He was redshirted last season

Incoming Transfers:

Titus Rubles – [Forward] – 6 foot 7, 207
A junior college transfer from Blinn College, Titus is a tall slashing-type player who will see the floor plenty this upcoming season.  He averaged 14.5 ppg and 9.8 rpg during the 2011-12 season, earning him a NJCAA All-America Honorable Mention. 

David Nyarsuk – [Center] – 7 foot 1, 230
Averaging 9.8 ppg and 8 rpg for Mountain State in the NAIA last year, David will immediately be available for the Bearcats this season.  His size will help replace that of Yancy Gates and he gives the team added depth to an already strong and deep front court.  “If he was a junior college player,” coach Mich Cronic said, “he’d have been the No. 1 player in the country.”  

Who’s Out:  Yancy Gates, Dion Dixon, Octavius Ellis

Overview:

The foundation of Cincinnati Bearcat basketball is built on defense.  Last season they allowed 61.5 points per game, 5th best in the conference.  They also ranked 3rd in the conference in turnover margin, with a +3.11 figure.

Expect the tenacious attack to continue, but I’m not sure they will have as much success without Yancy Gates holding down the middle.  Gates was a terrorizing force who could control the low-post on his lonesome and forced opponents to game plan around him.  He was lost to graduation and without an obvious replacement – the Bearcats may find it difficult to repeat last year’s performance.

Justin Jackson and Cheikh Mbodj are the returning candidates who are in position to benefit the most from the departure of Gates.  But neither has shown much in the past to justify a jump in production.

That is why it is going to have to be a collective effort.  The addition of junior college transfer Titus Rubles was a huge victory for the program.  Rubles, in conjunction with Jackson, Mbodj and Nyarsuk, should provide the size and athleticism to survive in the low-post in the Big East.  And it helps that JaQuon Parker is an extremely scrappy player who can hold his own down low, despite his size.

While questions remain about how the front court will look and what type of production we should expect, there are no such questions about the back court.  That back court is so skilled, that it allows Coach Cronin to go to a smaller lineup when needed.  Something they did from time to time last year, and a move they could go to more often this year.

Cashmere Wright, a senior, ran the point with great efficiency last year and finished with an assist-to-turnover ratio better than 2-to-1.  And Sean Kilpatrick, a junior, is one of the most lethal shooters in the nation.  This combo alone will give opposing teams headaches, and that’s not even accounting for Parker, Ge’Lawn Guyn, or Jeremiah Davis III. Cincinnati will also be welcoming redshirt freshman Shaq Thomas, who should be productive as he gets his feet wet.  The Big East has some talented back courts (i.e. Louisville and Notre Dame), but I don’t think Bearcats fans should feel at a disadvantage when matched up against any of them.

Cincinnati was very steady last year - they only lost back-to-back games once, a three game losing streak in late January.  But they never got the attention they deserved (outside the infamous brawl against Xavier) until they knocked off Syracuse to reach the Big East title game.  There is the obvious question about replacing Gates, but Cronin has done a great job of improving this team every year.  A similar season to last year’s, led by the back court seems reasonable.  But if the front court ends up surprising, advancing past the Sweet 16 is not out of the question.  

Twitter:  @shane_t_mac 




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